Are we in deep depression now?

Discussion in 'Business & Economics' started by Saint, May 12, 2020.

  1. Bowser Namaste Valued Senior Member

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    I don't know, Bill. Herd immunity sounds like a better gamble. Because of some physical conditions, I am a high-risk individual, yet am nearing the point of throwing up my hands and letting go.
     
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  3. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    What do you think herd immunity is?
     
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  5. Bowser Namaste Valued Senior Member

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    Group exposure to a contagion.
     
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  7. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    No, that's group exposure to a contagion.

    Herd immunity is an immunologic state of a population where enough people are immune that the disease can not easily propagate, and thus new infections decline. You get this in modern society by immunizing everyone or almost everyone. It's how we ended polio, for example.

    You can also let the contagion run wild and kill a significant fraction of the population. After all the at-risk people are dead, and after the healthier people have almost all had the disease, then you also get herd immunity. It's how we became immune to (for example) bubonic plauge. After most people got it, and a significant fraction of the population died, enough of the survivors were immune that the disease could no longer propagate.

    So we could certainly go that route - but keep in mind that means that the at-risk people (like you) die and the rest of us acquire immunity.
     
  8. Bowser Namaste Valued Senior Member

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    Is it worth the gamble? It certainly won't go away.
     
  9. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    Well, since the entire premise of public health over the past 500 years or so has been to _avoid_ that outcome, it's probably not worth it.
    Right. But it can be managed to greatly reduce overall death rate.
     
  10. Bowser Namaste Valued Senior Member

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    Let us hope a vaccine is developed soon. We can't avoid each other forever.
     
  11. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    We don't need to. Here in CA we are keeping infection rates down while still going to stores, picking up takeout etc.
     

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